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New York City
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
DC United

NY City
2 - 0
DC United

Rodriguez (20'), Fernandez (90+1')
Bakrar (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Akinmboni (34'), Bartlett (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 New England
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 DC United

New York should have a lot more confidence following their performance last weekend, and we believe their overall individual quality will be able to outlast a DC side, who have looked better than their recent results suggest, but without Klich, may have difficulty unlocking the opposing backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawDC United
58.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.59% (0.0020000000000024 0) 18.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52% (-0.061 -0.06)48% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83% (-0.055 -0.05)70.17% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.98% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)39.76% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.073 -0.07)76.43% (0.074000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 58.82%
    DC United 18.58%
    Draw 22.59%
New York City FCDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: NY City vs DC United

New York City FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
DC United
2-0
NY City
Klich (45'), Durkin (62')
Birnbaum (45+1'), Canouse (67'), Klich (90+2')

O'Toole (74'), Perea (90+6')
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
May 19, 2022 12.30am
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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