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Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
New England Revolution

NY City
2 - 0
New England

Ojeda (57'), Fernandez (90+3')
Freese (45+6'), Parks (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chancalay (22'), Harkes (43'), Kessler (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: New York City FC 2-0 New England Revolution

While both sides have had their share of flaws this season, NYCFC have looked much more cohesive than the Revs, particularly on the defensive side, and we believe the Pigeons will be able to bury their opportunities on Saturday and collect a much-needed victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
57.44% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 20.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 21.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.54% (0.007000000000005 0.01)58.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.53% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (0.010000000000005 0.01)38.56% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.11%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 57.44%
    New England Revolution 21.6%
    Draw 20.95%
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.11%
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.11%
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 57.44%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.95%
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 21.6%

How you voted: NY City vs New England

New York City FC
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
New England Revolution
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
New England
Chanot (81')
Cufre (90+1')
Boateng (43'), Gil (85')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Jul 9, 2022 6pm
NY City
4-2
New England
Magno (10' pen.), Castellanos (44' pen., 82'), Pereira (49')
Castellanos (36'), Haak (70')
Bou (18', 77')
Gil (84')
Farrell (41')
Dec 1, 2021 12.30am
New England
2-2
NY City
NY City win 5-3 on penalties
Polster (27'), Buksa (54')
Castellanos (18'), Rodriguez (58'), Morales (84')
Castellanos (113')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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