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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
New England Revolution

Orlando City
3 - 0
New England

Santos (22'), Torres (45+2' pen.), McGuire (74')
Cartagena (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Parker (37'), Enrique (68'), Boateng (78'), Bajraktarevic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-0 New England Revolution

Orlando, buoyed by their recent victory and solid performance against New England in their last two meetings, will be confident of securing a convincing victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
59.92% (-0.113 -0.11) 20.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 19.71% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 60.24% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.76% (0.209 0.21)36.24% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.64% (0.228 0.23)58.36% (-0.229 -0.23)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19% (0.033000000000001 0.03)11.81% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.96% (0.07 0.07)37.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.24000000000001 0.24)31.69% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (0.276 0.28)68.11% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 59.92%
    New England Revolution 19.71%
    Draw 20.37%
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.14% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 59.92%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 19.71%

How you voted: Orlando City vs New England

Orlando City
100%
Draw
0.0%
New England Revolution
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
New England
1-3
Orlando City
Vrioni (23')
Harkes (68')
Torres (51', 81'), Enrique (59')
Jansson (50'), Schlegel (78')
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-2
New England
McGuire (31'), Torres (37'), Angulo (45')
Gil (42', 90+3')
McNamara (84')
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
New England
3-1
Orlando City
Boateng (51'), Bou (69'), Gil (85')
Buck (84'), Edwards Jr. (90+3'), Edwards Jr. (90+4')
McGuire (80')
Araujo (3'), Halliday (22')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
0-3
New England

Carlos (6'), Jansson (66'), Araujo (85')
Polster (20'), Kaptoum (51'), Kessler (75')
rhs 2.0
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