Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.