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National League South | Gameweek 32
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
0 - 3
Worthing


Kelly (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Willard (41'), Pearce (68', 90+2' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Taunton Town 2-2 Aveley
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 4-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawWorthing
32.88% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1) 25.36% (-0.11 -0.11) 41.76% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 55.75% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (0.46 0.46)47.94% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (0.423 0.42)70.11% (-0.41900000000001 -0.42)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.161 0.16)27.75% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (0.207 0.21)63.32% (-0.204 -0.2)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.30600000000001 0.31)22.84% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (0.447 0.45)56.57% (-0.444 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 32.88%
    Worthing 41.76%
    Draw 25.35%
AveleyDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.88%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.76%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Worthing
1-2
Aveley
Luque (60')
Benton (17'), Vaz (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


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