MX23RW : Friday, May 24 19:29:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 32
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
0 - 3
Worthing


Kelly (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Willard (41'), Pearce (68', 90+2' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Taunton Town 2-2 Aveley
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 4-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawWorthing
32.88% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1) 25.36% (-0.11 -0.11) 41.76% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 55.75% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (0.46 0.46)47.94% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (0.423 0.42)70.11% (-0.41900000000001 -0.42)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.161 0.16)27.75% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (0.207 0.21)63.32% (-0.204 -0.2)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.30600000000001 0.31)22.84% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (0.447 0.45)56.57% (-0.444 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 32.88%
    Worthing 41.76%
    Draw 25.35%
AveleyDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.88%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.76%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Worthing
1-2
Aveley
Luque (60')
Benton (17'), Vaz (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil46298981483395
2Chelmsford CityChelmsford City4624121076433384
3Worthing4626614104723284
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone4624111172522083
5Braintree TownBraintree4623121164422281
6Bath City4620131371551673
7Aveley462110156861773
8Farnborough TownFarnborough462012147667972
9Hampton & RichmondHampton462012146157472
10Slough TownSlough4618141485711468
11St Albans CitySt Albans City462081877671068
12Chippenham TownChippenham461614166262062
13Weston-super-MareWeston46178216674-859
14Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels461513186566-158
15Weymouth461317165764-756
16Truro CityTruro City461510215867-955
17Welling UnitedWelling United461218165671-1554
18Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd46197207376-353
19Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne461410225374-2152
20Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.461311225571-1650
21DartfordDartford461210245675-1946
22Taunton TownTaunton Town461016204471-2746
23Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville46107295292-4037
24Dover AthleticDover Athletic46415274077-3727


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