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Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
2 - 1
Aveley

Sutherland (68'), Allen (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelly (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-2 Slough
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawAveley
34.01% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28) 25.42% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 40.57% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 55.88% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (0.186 0.19)47.91% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (0.169 0.17)70.09% (-0.17 -0.17)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)27.04% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.103 -0.1)62.4% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.249 0.25)23.41% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.359 0.36)57.41% (-0.361 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 34.01%
    Aveley 40.57%
    Draw 25.42%
Dover AthleticDrawAveley
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.01%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.67% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.57%

rhs 2.0
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