National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Ebbsfleet4 - 2Dulwich Hamlet
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Dulwich Hamlet.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
52
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 79.38%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 8.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Dulwich Hamlet win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dulwich Hamlet |
79.38% ( -0.79) | 12.32% ( 0.01) | 8.31% ( 0.77) |
Both teams to score 58.48% ( 4.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.53% ( 3.2) | 23.47% ( -3.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.11% ( 4.18) | 42.89% ( -4.18) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.37% ( 0.49) | 4.63% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.15% ( 1.49) | 18.84% ( -1.49) |
Dulwich Hamlet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.32% ( 4.43) | 38.68% ( -4.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.58% ( 3.96) | 75.42% ( -3.96) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet 79.38%
Dulwich Hamlet 8.31%
Draw 12.32%
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dulwich Hamlet |
3-0 @ 8.66% ( -1) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -1.3) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.52) 4-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.5% ( -1.06) 5-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.49) 5-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 3% ( 0.46) 6-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.21) 5-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.34) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.24) 6-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.2) 7-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 79.38% | 1-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.42) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.25% Total : 12.32% | 1-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.92% Total : 8.31% |
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-24 10:00:33
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 52 |
2 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 52 |
3 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Truro CityTruro City | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 49 |
5 | Worthing | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 49 |
6 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 49 |
7 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 46 |
8 | Weston-super-MareWeston | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 44 |
9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
10 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 38 |
11 | Farnborough TownFarnborough | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 38 |
12 | Chesham UnitedChesham | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 37 |
13 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 36 |
14 | Slough TownSlough | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 36 |
15 | AFC HornchurchHornchurch | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 32 |
16 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 32 |
17 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps. | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 31 |
18 | Salisbury | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 30 |
19 | Bath City | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 27 |
21 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 19 |
22 | Enfield Town | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 19 |
23 | Aveley | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 17 |
24 | Weymouth | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 39 | -22 | 15 |
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