Havant & W'ville4 - 1Hungerford
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ebbsfleet | 8 | 17 | 24 |
2 | Havant & Waterlooville | 7 | 8 | 19 |
3 | Worthing | 8 | 8 | 18 |
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Concord Rangers | 7 | -7 | 7 |
21 | Hungerford Town | 7 | -2 | 5 |
22 | Dulwich Hamlet | 8 | -6 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
Result | ||
Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Hungerford Town |
63.73% ( -0.03) | 20.73% ( 0.06) | 15.54% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.32% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% ( -0.35) | 45.19% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% ( -0.34) | 67.54% ( 0.34) |
Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.5% ( -0.12) | 13.5% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.47% ( -0.24) | 40.53% ( 0.24) |
Hungerford Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.17% ( -0.26) | 41.83% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.72% ( -0.23) | 78.29% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Hungerford Town |
2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 63.72% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.73% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 15.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 52 |
2 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 52 |
3 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Truro CityTruro City | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 49 |
5 | Worthing | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 49 |
6 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 49 |
7 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 46 |
8 | Weston-super-MareWeston | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 44 |
9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
10 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 38 |
11 | Farnborough TownFarnborough | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 38 |
12 | Chesham UnitedChesham | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 37 |
13 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 36 |
14 | Slough TownSlough | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 36 |
15 | AFC HornchurchHornchurch | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 32 |
16 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 32 |
17 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps. | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 31 |
18 | Salisbury | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 30 |
19 | Bath City | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 27 |
21 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 19 |
22 | Enfield Town | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 19 |
23 | Aveley | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 17 |
24 | Weymouth | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 39 | -22 | 15 |
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