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National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Dover Athletic

Hemel Hempstead
0 - 0
Dover Athletic

FT
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 1-3 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDover Athletic
44.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 25.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 29.5% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.56% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (0.083999999999996 0.08)51.39% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.073 0.07)73.21% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)56.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (0.11 0.11)31.78% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (0.125 0.13)68.21% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 44.62%
    Dover Athletic 29.5%
    Draw 25.87%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 44.62%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.5%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Dover Athletic
4-0
Hemel Hempstead
Goodman (16'), Higgs (42'), Carney (85'), Baptiste (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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