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National League South | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Park View Road
Yeovil Town

Welling United
4 - 1
Yeovil

Adom (25'), Abrahams (55', 57', 67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Young (16')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Yeovil Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braintree 4-1 Welling United
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Yeovil
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawYeovil Town
33.59% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03) 24.91% (0.0030000000000001 0) 41.5% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.53% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.72% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)68.04% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)26.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)61.35% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)22.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 33.59%
    Yeovil Town 41.5%
    Draw 24.9%
Welling UnitedDrawYeovil Town
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 7.73%
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 33.59%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.5%

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