Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.