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Aldershot Town
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Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
AFC Fylde
National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
Hartlepool United

Fylde
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Haughton (17'), Onariase (20' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hastie (74')
Crawford (52'), Stephenson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Fylde and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Rochdale
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

We said: Fylde 1-2 Hartlepool United

With both teams on a high after their last outings, this has the potential to be an entertaining match. Fylde require the points far more than their higher-profile opponents, yet we feel that the visitors will have enough quality to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fylde in this match.

Result
FyldeDrawHartlepool United
44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.21% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)38.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)60.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)17.57% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.87% (-0.012 -0.01)48.13% (0.012 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72%57.28%
Score Analysis
    Fylde 44.43%
    Hartlepool United 32.36%
    Draw 23.2%
FyldeDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.36%

How you voted: Fylde vs Hartlepool

Fylde
45.5%
Draw
9.1%
Hartlepool United
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Hartlepool
3-1
Fylde
Dieseruvwe (25', 53'), Cooke (33')
Crawford (39'), Grey (68'), Cooke (90+5')
Omotayo (45+2')
Richardson (3')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Hartlepool
2-2
Fylde
Toure (3', 59')
Featherstone (61')
Croasdale (81', 83')
Haughton (76'), Philliskirk (94')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 45
Fylde
4-2
Hartlepool
Rowe (3', 79'), Kerr (56' og.), Walters (90')
Birch (42'), Philliskirk (70'), Francis-Angol (80')
Donaldson (46'), Hawkes (75')
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hartlepool
1-2
Fylde
Noble (84' pen.)
Magnay (78'), Noble (90')
Rowe (44'), Gnahoua (74')
Tunnicliffe (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City17115133122138
2Forest Green RoversForest Green17114233141937
3Barnet17111534201434
4Gateshead1710342822633
5Oldham AthleticOldham178722517831
6Rochdale1793527161130
7Yeovil TownYeovil178452115628
8Halifax TownHalifax177551916326
9Solihull MoorsSolihull177462628-225
10AltrinchamAltrincham176652623324
11Eastleigh176562525023
12Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red175752718922
13Sutton UnitedSutton176472526-122
14Tamworth176472028-822
15Southend UnitedSouthend175662020021
16Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool175661821-321
17Aldershot TownAldershot174672127-618
18Fylde175392336-1318
19Woking174581824-617
20Braintree TownBraintree174491320-716
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead174492130-916
22WealdstoneWealdstone173681625-915
23Boston UnitedBoston1725101630-1411
24Ebbsfleet1715111537-228


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