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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
AFC Fylde
National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
Hartlepool United

Fylde
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Haughton (17'), Onariase (20' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hastie (74')
Crawford (52'), Stephenson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Fylde and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Rochdale
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

We said: Fylde 1-2 Hartlepool United

With both teams on a high after their last outings, this has the potential to be an entertaining match. Fylde require the points far more than their higher-profile opponents, yet we feel that the visitors will have enough quality to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fylde in this match.

Result
FyldeDrawHartlepool United
44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.21% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)38.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)60.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)17.57% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.87% (-0.012 -0.01)48.13% (0.012 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72%57.28%
Score Analysis
    Fylde 44.43%
    Hartlepool United 32.36%
    Draw 23.2%
FyldeDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.36%

How you voted: Fylde vs Hartlepool

Fylde
45.5%
Draw
9.1%
Hartlepool United
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Hartlepool
3-1
Fylde
Dieseruvwe (25', 53'), Cooke (33')
Crawford (39'), Grey (68'), Cooke (90+5')
Omotayo (45+2')
Richardson (3')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Hartlepool
2-2
Fylde
Toure (3', 59')
Featherstone (61')
Croasdale (81', 83')
Haughton (76'), Philliskirk (94')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 45
Fylde
4-2
Hartlepool
Rowe (3', 79'), Kerr (56' og.), Walters (90')
Birch (42'), Philliskirk (70'), Francis-Angol (80')
Donaldson (46'), Hawkes (75')
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hartlepool
1-2
Fylde
Noble (84' pen.)
Magnay (78'), Noble (90')
Rowe (44'), Gnahoua (74')
Tunnicliffe (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green261410244212352
2York City24156348202851
3Barnet26156551302151
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2612594537841
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
9AltrinchamAltrincham25108741301138
10Eastleigh2691163633338
11Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
13Sutton UnitedSutton269893635135
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2678112737-1029
18Aldershot TownAldershot26511103745-826
19WealdstoneWealdstone2459103037-724
20Braintree TownBraintree2666142538-1324
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2665153153-2223
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2437142140-1916
24Ebbsfleet2718182063-4311


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