Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Southend United |
31.71% ( 0.02) | 24.83% ( 0.01) | 43.46% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% ( -0.04) | 45.98% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( -0.04) | 68.28% ( 0.03) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.46% ( -0.01) | 27.54% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.95% ( -0.01) | 63.04% ( 0.01) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% ( -0.03) | 21.2% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.91% ( -0.04) | 54.08% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.71% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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