Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.