MX23RW : Sunday, April 6 13:44:09| >> :600:1016269:1016269:
Malta national football team
Nations League | League D
Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Moldova national football team

Malta
1 - 0
Moldova

Teuma (87' pen.)
Shaw (29'), Mentz (39'), Mbong (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reabciuk (30'), Cojocaru (51'), Caimacov (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Malta and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Andorra
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Malta 1-2 Moldova

Now a big fish in a small pond at League D level, Moldova can do the double over managerless Malta and earn automatic promotion in the process. The visitors are on a three-match winning streak and can use that momentum to get them over the line in Ta' Qali. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Malta had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Malta win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
MaltaDrawMoldova
34.83% (-0.471 -0.47) 25.67% (-0.156 -0.16) 39.5% (0.631 0.63)
Both teams to score 55.19% (0.465 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.629 0.63)48.87% (-0.626 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.567 0.57)70.96% (-0.563 -0.56)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.018999999999991 0.02)27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)62.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (0.61999999999999 0.62)24.39% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (0.867 0.87)58.81% (-0.863 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Malta 34.83%
    Moldova 39.5%
    Draw 25.66%
MaltaDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.83%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.5%

How you voted: Malta vs Moldova

Malta
Draw
Moldova
Malta
16.3%
Draw
25.9%
Moldova
57.8%
135
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 5pm
League D
Moldova
2-0
Malta
Caimacov (32'), Nicolaescu (45+4' pen.)
Motpan (65'), Damascan (72')

Guillaumier (45'), Bonello (45+3'), Muscat (53'), Marcolini (54')
rhs 2.0
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