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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Slovakia national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 25, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Belarus national football team

Slovakia
1 - 1
Belarus

Zreľak (65')
Pekarik (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakhar (45')
Bakhar (32'), Pechenin (41'), Klimovich (45+4'), Khadarkevich (59'), Bocherov (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovakia 1-2 Azerbaijan
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Belarus

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Belarus
Thursday, September 22 at 3pm in Nations League

We said: Slovakia 2-0 Belarus

 We expect Slovakia to earn their first win of the Calzona era, but it is unlikely to be pretty. Belarus will not want to go down without a fight, and they are rarely heavily beaten despite their poor form of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
SlovakiaDrawBelarus
54.42% (-0.332 -0.33) 21.78% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 23.8% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 61.3% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)37.57% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-0.184 -0.18)59.81% (0.181 0.18)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (-0.163 -0.16)13.86% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (-0.32 -0.32)41.24% (0.317 0.32)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.097999999999999 0.1)28.84% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (0.122 0.12)64.69% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 54.42%
    Belarus 23.8%
    Draw 21.78%
SlovakiaDrawBelarus
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 54.42%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.97% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Slovakia vs Belarus

Slovakia
81.7%
Draw
11.3%
Belarus
7.0%
71
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 7.45pm
League C3
Belarus
0-1
Slovakia

Begunov (25')
Suslov (61')
Duda (5'), Bozenik (86')
Oct 9, 2015 7.45pm
Group C
Slovakia
0-1
Belarus

Skrtel (11'), Weiss (36')
Dragun (34')
Stasevich (49'), Martynovich (57'), Gordeichuk (83'), Polyakov (94')
Martynovich (65')
> Match Report
Oct 12, 2014 7.45pm
Group C
Belarus
1-3
Slovakia
Kalachev (79')
Verkhovtsov (49'), Shitov (58')
Hamsik (65', 83'), Sestak (92')
Gyomber (87')
> Match Report
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