Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin
Motor Lublin0 - 2Jagiellonia
Caliskaner (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-2 Gdansk
Saturday, September 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, September 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motor Lublin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
49.1% ( -0.01) | 24.7% ( -0.01) | 26.19% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.88% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.46% ( 0.05) | 48.54% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.33% ( 0.04) | 70.67% ( -0.05) |
Motor Lublin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.2% ( 0.02) | 19.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.13% ( 0.02) | 51.87% ( -0.02) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.18% ( 0.04) | 32.82% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% ( 0.05) | 69.38% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Motor Lublin 49.1%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 26.19%
Draw 24.7%
Motor Lublin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 49.1% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.19% |
How you voted: Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
40.0%Draw
20.0%Jagiellonia Bialystok
40.0%5
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-18 00:38:15
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
2 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
3 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
4 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 22 |
5 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Legia WarsawLegia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Katowice | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
9 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
10 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
11 | Zaglebie Lubin | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
13 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Lechia GdanskGdansk | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
18 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
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