MX23RW : Friday, October 18 02:41:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
0 - 2
Jagiellonia


Caliskaner (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romanczuk (4'), Normann Hansen (50')
Romanczuk (45+1'), Sacek (66'), Dieguez (86')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-2 Gdansk
Saturday, September 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
49.1% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 26.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.88% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46% (0.050999999999995 0.05)48.54% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33% (0.044999999999998 0.04)70.67% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.87% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)32.82% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (0.048000000000002 0.05)69.38% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 49.1%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 26.19%
    Draw 24.7%
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.1%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 26.19%

How you voted: Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia

Motor Lublin
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
40.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan118122171425
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow117221541123
3KS CracoviaCracovia117222215723
4Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia117131817122
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin116141713419
6Legia WarsawLegia114431812616
7Widzew Lodz114431312116
8Katowice114341813515
9Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice114341010015
10Motor Lublin114341013-315
11Zaglebie Lubin11425814-614
12Gornik ZabrzeGornik113351314-112
13Korona Kielce11335916-712
14Stal Mielec10325811-311
15Radomiak Radom103071418-49
16Lechia GdanskGdansk112361321-89
17Puszcza Niepolomice111551019-98
18Slask Wroclaw9045917-84


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