MX23RW : Sunday, May 26 17:56:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
1 - 2
Jagiellonia

Zurawski (32')
Matuszewski (19'), Luis (23'), Vizinger (47'), Borowski (49')
Borowski (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Normann Hansen (1'), Naranjo (66')
Dieguez (44')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 2-2 Warta Poznan
Saturday, November 25 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
33.43% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.63% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 40.93% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.99% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.056000000000004 0.06)48.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.051000000000002 0.05)71.07% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.057999999999993 0.06)27.91% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (0.073999999999998 0.07)63.53% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)57.83% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 33.43%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.93%
    Draw 25.63%
Warta PoznanDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 33.43%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.93%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia34189777453263
2Slask Wroclaw34189750311963
3Legia WarsawLegia341611751391259
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin341671159382155
5Lech Poznan34141194741653
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik34158114541453
7Rakow CzestochowaRakow3414101054391552
8Zaglebie Lubin34138134350-747
9Widzew Lodz34137144546-146
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice3491693835343
11Stal Mielec341110134248-643
12Puszcza Niepolomice34913123949-1040
13KS CracoviaCracovia34815114546-139
14Korona Kielce34814124044-438
15Radomiak Radom34108164158-1738
16Warta Poznan34910153343-1037
17Ruch Chorzow34614144055-1532
18LKS Lodz3466223475-4124


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