MX23RW : Saturday, February 8 20:05:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
2 - 1
Jagiellonia

Koulouris (44'), Grosicki (48' pen.)
Kurzawa (37'), Smolinski (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malec (35' og.)
Romanczuk (90+8')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Szczecin
Friday, October 20 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-3 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pogon Szczecin in this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
49.66% (-0.373 -0.37) 22.1% (0.149 0.15) 28.24% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 64.73% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97% (-0.551 -0.55)35.03% (0.556 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.98% (-0.619 -0.62)57.02% (0.623 0.62)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (-0.319 -0.32)14.5% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.51% (-0.627 -0.63)42.49% (0.63 0.63)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.139 -0.14)24.3% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)58.68% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 49.66%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 28.24%
    Draw 22.1%
Pogon SzczecinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 49.66%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.24%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan19132437152241
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia20115438271138
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow20107326131337
4Legia WarsawLegia1996437241333
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin2010372921833
6KS CracoviaCracovia199553628832
7Gornik ZabrzeGornik209472724331
8Katowice208573026429
9Motor Lublin198562831-329
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice196762119225
11Widzew Lodz197482529-425
12Stal Mielec2064102126-522
13Radomiak Radom2063112432-821
14Puszcza Niepolomice194781827-919
15Korona Kielce194781628-1219
16Zaglebie Lubin1954101628-1219
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1936101934-1515
18Slask Wroclaw2018111632-1611


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