Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.76%) and 2-3 (5.16%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.