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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Wolves logo

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Wolves

Diaby (36'), Konsa (65')
Tielemans (30'), Duran (84'), Digne (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sarabia (19'), Chirewa (81'), Kilman (84'), Gomes (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa strengthen hold of fourth spot in Premier League with 2-0 win over Wolves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
65.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 15.97% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.67% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.5% (0.037000000000006 0.04)33.5% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.71% (0.039000000000001 0.04)55.3% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.012999999999991 0.01)9.57% (-0.0080999999999989 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.03% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.01% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.69% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 65.6%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.97%
    Draw 18.43%
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 65.6%
1-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.43%
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Wolves

Aston Villa
66.7%
Draw
17.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
16.3%
135
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Wolves
1-1
Aston Villa
Hee-chan (53')
Dawson (28'), Lemina (62'), Semedo (67'), Kalajdzic (90+14')
Lemina (90+4')
Torres (55')
Kamara (6'), McGinn (29')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
1-1
Wolves
Ings (78')
Podence (12')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wolves
2-1
Aston Villa
Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Aston Villa
2-3
Wolves
Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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