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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Luton
2 - 1
Bournemouth

Clark (73'), Morris (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (52')

The Match

Match Report

Carlton Morris scores a 90th-minute winner as Luton Town hand their Premier League survival chances a major boost with a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
33.84% (0.892 0.89) 22.44% (0.197 0.2) 43.72% (-1.085 -1.09)
Both teams to score 66.71% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.25% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)33.76% (0.663 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.41% (-0.755 -0.75)55.59% (0.758 0.76)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.152 0.15)20.47% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (0.23999999999999 0.24)52.94% (-0.235 -0.23)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88% (-0.661 -0.66)16.12% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.46% (-1.221 -1.22)45.55% (1.226 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 33.84%
    Bournemouth 43.72%
    Draw 22.44%
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.202 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.22% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 4.21% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.42% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 43.72%

How you voted: Luton vs Bournemouth

Luton Town
31.6%
Draw
15.8%
Bournemouth
52.6%
133
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bournemouth
4-3
Luton
Solanke (50'), Zabarnyi (62'), Semenyo (64', 83')
Smith (69')
Chong (9'), Ogbene (31'), Barkley (45+1')
Clark (30'), Ogbene (66')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Luton
3-2
Bournemouth
Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
2-1
Luton
Billing (17'), Solanke (31')
Pearson (49'), Lowe (90+2')
Burke (64')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
0-1
Luton

Billing (90+3')
Lerma (26')
Dewsbury-Hall (67')
Pearson (90+2'), Hylton (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
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8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
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