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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Luton
2 - 1
Bournemouth

Clark (73'), Morris (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (52')

The Match

Match Report

Carlton Morris scores a 90th-minute winner as Luton Town hand their Premier League survival chances a major boost with a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
33.84% (0.892 0.89) 22.44% (0.197 0.2) 43.72% (-1.085 -1.09)
Both teams to score 66.71% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.25% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)33.76% (0.663 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.41% (-0.755 -0.75)55.59% (0.758 0.76)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.152 0.15)20.47% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (0.23999999999999 0.24)52.94% (-0.235 -0.23)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88% (-0.661 -0.66)16.12% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.46% (-1.221 -1.22)45.55% (1.226 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 33.84%
    Bournemouth 43.72%
    Draw 22.44%
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.202 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.22% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 4.21% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.42% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 43.72%

How you voted: Luton vs Bournemouth

Luton Town
31.6%
Draw
15.8%
Bournemouth
52.6%
133
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bournemouth
4-3
Luton
Solanke (50'), Zabarnyi (62'), Semenyo (64', 83')
Smith (69')
Chong (9'), Ogbene (31'), Barkley (45+1')
Clark (30'), Ogbene (66')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Luton
3-2
Bournemouth
Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
2-1
Luton
Billing (17'), Solanke (31')
Pearson (49'), Lowe (90+2')
Burke (64')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
0-1
Luton

Billing (90+3')
Lerma (26')
Dewsbury-Hall (67')
Pearson (90+2'), Hylton (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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