Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga4 - 0Rio Ave
We said: Braga 2-1 Rio Ave
Despite Braga's recent busy schedule and a growing injury list, they should have enough in the tank to eke out a marginal victory against a Rio Ave side that have lost three away matches on the spin and secured one road win since the start of 2023. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 11.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
70.62% ( 0.1) | 17.49% ( -0.04) | 11.9% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
