Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
68.49% ( 0.46) | 18.61% ( -0.25) | 12.9% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.58% ( 0.61) | 41.41% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.18% ( 0.62) | 63.81% ( -0.62) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.95% ( 0.29) | 11.04% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.61% ( 0.64) | 35.38% ( -0.64) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.72% ( 0.06) | 43.27% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.48% ( 0.05) | 79.52% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.93% Total : 68.49% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.61% | 0-1 @ 4% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
10 | AVS | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 7 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 |
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