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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estrela Amadora

Estoril
1 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Fernandes (57')
Marques (38'), Marques (71'), Ndiaye (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sa (85'), Bucca (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estoril
Wednesday, January 31 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Benfica
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Estrela Amadora

Given the stakes of the game, we anticipate a thrilling contest between the two sides who will be looking to avoid falling into the relegation dogfight. While they are evenly matched on paper, home advantage gives Estoril a slight edge and we fancy the them to claim all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawEstrela Amadora
50.91% (-0.105 -0.1) 23.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.81% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (-0.118 -0.12)42.62% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.11900000000001 -0.12)65.03% (0.122 0.12)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)16.84% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17% (-0.146 -0.15)46.83% (0.15 0.15)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.98% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)66.09% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 50.91%
    Estrela Amadora 25.81%
    Draw 23.28%
Estoril PraiaDrawEstrela Amadora
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 25.81%

How you voted: Estoril vs Estrela Amadora

Estoril Praia
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Estrela Amadora
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 3
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Estoril
Tavares (47'), Cordeiro (90+10')
Pereira Martins (87')
Marques (67')
Holsgrove (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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