Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.08%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
11.08% (![]() | 18.35% (![]() | 70.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% (![]() | 44.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% (![]() | 67.29% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.38% (![]() | 48.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.32% (![]() | 83.68% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.51% (![]() | 11.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.66% (![]() | 36.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.03% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 11.08% | 1-1 @ 8.72% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.35% | 0-2 @ 13.07% 0-1 @ 12.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.38% Total : 70.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |