Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
28.16% (![]() | 26.41% (![]() | 45.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.84% (![]() | 54.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.43% (![]() | 75.57% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% (![]() | 34.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.06% (![]() | 70.94% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.23% (![]() | 23.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.08% (![]() | 57.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 8.72% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 12.53% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 11.69% (![]() 1-2 @ 9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |