Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
51.3% ( -0.01) | 23.24% ( -0) | 25.46% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.01% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.24% ( 0.02) | 42.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.84% ( 0.02) | 65.16% ( -0.02) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.25% ( 0) | 16.74% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.33% ( 0.01) | 46.66% ( -0.01) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( 0.02) | 30.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.49% ( 0.02) | 66.51% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.3% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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