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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Rio Ave

Maritimo
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Correia (45+2'), Vidigal (76')
Costa (32'), Catamo (51'), Xadas (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hernani (35'), Acevedo (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Arouca
Friday, April 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 1-1 Rio Ave

Rio Ave endured a rough spell in April but will be looking to build on last Friday's victory over Arouca. As for Maritimo, they will draw inspiration from their recent results in this fixture as they look to pull clear of the automatic drop zone. With that said, we predict an end-to-end affair, with both sides settling for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawRio Ave
37.29% (0.248 0.25) 26.99% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 35.72% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)54.33% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.129 0.13)28.15% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (0.161 0.16)63.84% (-0.159 -0.16)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)29.09% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-0.214 -0.21)65.01% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 37.29%
    Rio Ave 35.72%
    Draw 26.98%
MaritimoDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 37.29%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.72%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Rio Ave

Maritimo
30.0%
Draw
50.0%
Rio Ave
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 14
Rio Ave
1-1
Maritimo
Aderlan (45+5')
Vidigal (37')
Afonso (55')
Dec 1, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Maritimo
0-1
Rio Ave

Andres Ramirez (24')
Aderlan (90')
Apr 21, 2021 5pm
gameweek 28
Maritimo
1-0
Rio Ave
Joel (12')
Joel (65')
Dec 28, 2020 6.45pm
gameweek 11
Rio Ave
1-3
Maritimo
Diego (14')
Borevkovic (12'), Tarantini (36'), Pele (67')
Joel (50', 63'), Hermes (75')
Junior (43'), Jean (90+2')
Jul 13, 2020 7pm
gameweek 32
Maritimo
0-0
Rio Ave

Borevkovic (45+1'), Santos (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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