MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:48:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 at 5pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Estoril

Nacional
2 - 2
Estoril

Dudu (45+4' pen.), Penha (52')
Paulinho (25'), Aguiar Tomich (81'), Garcia (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lacximicant (4'), Bacher (90+3')
Bacher (39'), Holsgrove (45+2'), Zanocelo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 0-2 Nacional
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Boavista
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 1-2 Estoril Praia

While both sides come into this clash on a high after winning their previous matches, Estoril are favoured to prevail, given their blistering run of five consecutive victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawEstoril Praia
35.45% (-0.556 -0.56) 25.19% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 39.36% (0.49 0.49)
Both teams to score 56.95% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (-0.363 -0.36)46.64% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-0.342 -0.34)68.91% (0.34100000000001 0.34)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)25.58% (0.487 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.667 -0.67)60.46% (0.668 0.67)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (0.088000000000008 0.09)23.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (0.131 0.13)57.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 35.45%
    Estoril Praia 39.36%
    Draw 25.18%
NacionalDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.45%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.155 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 39.36%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 5
Estoril
1-0
Nacional
Carvalho (19')
Alvaro (5'), Michel (52')

Vitor (69')
Ulisses (65')
Jul 25, 2021 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Nacional
1-2
Estoril
Rochez (36')
Crespo (57'), Carlos (90')
(25')
Apr 9, 2017 4pm
Estoril
0-1
Nacional

Carlinhos (19'), Mano (49'), Dankler (71'), Indio (93')
Zizo (77')
Figueiredo (88'), Facchini (92')
Nov 26, 2016 4pm
Nacional
0-1
Estoril

Washington (79')
Ghazal (9' og.)
Ailton (29'), Diakhite (49'), Joel (52'), Mattheus (81')
Apr 10, 2016 4pm
Nacional
4-1
Estoril
Soares (37'), Agra (47'), Bonilha (55'), Witi (63')
Marion (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!