Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
63.39% | 21.02% | 15.59% |
Both teams to score 49.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.69% | 46.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.4% | 68.6% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.05% | 13.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.57% | 41.43% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.57% | 42.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.19% | 78.81% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 6.46% 4-0 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.77% 5-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.66% Total : 63.39% | 1-1 @ 10% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.02% | 0-1 @ 5.08% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.18% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.63% Total : 15.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 51 |
2 | Benfica | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 18 | 31 | 47 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 33 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 22 |
15 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |