Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.