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Falkirk
Scottish Challenge Cup | Semi-Finals
Feb 3, 2024 at 7.40pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium

Falkirk
0 - 1
New Saints


Henderson (68'), Spencer (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (26')
Williams (31')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Semi-Finals clash between Falkirk and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 0-5 Falkirk
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Newtown
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for The New Saints in this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawThe New Saints
26.35% (0.282 0.28) 25.54% (-0.734 -0.73) 48.1% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Both teams to score 51.41% (2.407 2.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.14% (3.026 3.03)51.85% (-3.029 -3.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (2.561 2.56)73.61% (-2.564 -2.56)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (1.872 1.87)34.45% (-1.876 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (1.948 1.95)71.16% (-1.95 -1.95)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (1.471 1.47)21.57% (-1.474 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (2.208 2.21)54.65% (-2.211 -2.21)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 26.36%
    The New Saints 48.09%
    Draw 25.53%
FalkirkDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.558 -0.56)
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.3% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.203 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.36%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.939 -0.94)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.34 0.34)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 11.39% (-0.89 -0.89)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.185 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.276 -0.28)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.295 0.3)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.276 0.28)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.187 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.095 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 48.09%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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