Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Fakel2 - 0Nizhny Novgorod
Markov (75'), Dolgov (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aleksandrov (52'), Masoero (60')
Aleksandrov (56')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Nizhny Novgorod.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zenit 2-0 Fakel
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 Akhmat Grozny
Monday, August 14 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Monday, August 14 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 44%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fakel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
44% ( -0.05) | 27.89% ( -0.05) | 28.12% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
