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Sassuolo logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 18, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Spezia Calcio logo

4 - 1

Berardi (17' pen., 48'), Ayhan (78'), Scamacca (81')
Henrique (20'), Berardi (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Verde (36')
Kovalenko (15'), Maggiore (55'), Erlic (80')

Preview: Sassuolo vs. Spezia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Spezia will be looking to follow up last weekend's crucial Serie A victory with another three points on Friday evening when they travel to the Mapei Stadium to face Sassuolo.

I Neroverdi, meanwhile, could extend their unbeaten league run to six matches if they avoid defeat against the Aquilotti.

Match preview

Sassuolo's Giacomo Raspadori celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 20, 2022© Reuters

Sassuolo missed the chance to claim their fourth successive Serie A win as they played out a 2-2 draw away at basement club Salernitana last weekend.

After going behind in the eighth minute, I Neroverdi turned the game on its head midway through the first half with two brilliant goals from Gianluca Scamacca and Hamed Traore.

However, the match took another twist on the hour mark as Giacomo Raspadori received two needless yellow cards within two minutes for late challenges. The dismissal provided a much-needed boost for Salernitana who, after pushing hard for an equaliser, eventually reaped their rewards when Milan Duric headed home in the 81st minute to rescue a point.

Alessio Dionisi will have been disappointed with his side's second-half efforts, but nevertheless, they managed to claim a point on the road, which keeps them within eight points of the top six with nine league games remaining.

With challenging fixtures against Lazio, Atalanta BC, Juventus, Napoli and AC Milan still to come, Sassuolo will view Friday's favourable-looking contest against Spezia as a must-win if they are to keep their slim European hopes alive.

I Neroverdi have failed to win their last two games against Spezia, but they have scored in all seven previous meetings, finding the net at least twice on five occasions, so they will be confident of success this time around.

Spezia's Daniele Verde celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 25, 2021© Reuters

After four straight Serie A defeats, Spezia were sliding down towards the danger zone; however, they managed to return to winning ways last weekend with a 2-0 victory at home against relegation rivals Cagliari.

Second-half strikes from Martin Erlic and Rey Manaj helped the hosts secure their eighth league win of the campaign and move seven points clear of 18th-placed Venezia, who have a game in hand.

In just their second ever top-flight season, Thiago Motta's men currently sit 15th in the Serie A standings with 29 points, the same number of points they had accumulated at this stage of last season.

The Aquilotti need to claim at least nine points from their final nine league games if they wish to surpass last season's tally of 37 points. With games against Venezia, Empoli and Torino to come next month, Motta's side will be confident of putting together a decent run of form to end the campaign.

Spezia will now be fully focused on Friday's trip to Sassuolo and will be aiming to claim back-to-back wins at the Mapei Stadium for the first time, after winning 2-1 in February last year, thanks to strikes from Erlic and Emmanuel Gyasi.

Sassuolo Serie A form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Sassuolo form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Spezia Serie A form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Team News

Sassuolo's Gian Marco Ferrari celebrates scoring their second goal with Abdou Harroui and Gregoire Defrel on December 1, 2021© Reuters

Sassuolo midfielder Filip Duricic remains sidelined with a hamstring injury, while full-back Jeremy Toljan continues to recover from a muscle problem.

With Raspadori suspended, Matheus Henrique could be handed a start in centre-midfield alongside Davide Frattesi and Maxime Lopez.

An attacking front three of Domenico Berardi, Scamacca and Traore, who have scored 28 goals combined this season, is set to remain intact.

As for Spezia, they will be without Jacopo Sala, (hamstring), Ebrima Colley and Leo Sena (both knocks) due to injury.

Motta is unlikely to make too many changes, if any, to his starting lineup, with Daniele Verde, Manaj and Gyasi all set to keep their places in attack.

Sassuolo possible starting lineup:
Consigli, Kyriakopulos, Ferrari, Chiriches, Muldur; Frattesi, Lopez, Henrique; Berardi, Scamacca, Traore

Spezia possible starting lineup:
Provedel; Amian, Nikolaou, Erlic, Reca; Bastoni, Kiwior, Maggiore; Verde, Manaj, Gyasi

SM words green background

We say: Sassuolo 2-1 Spezia

Spezia showed their defensive resilience against Cagliari last time out, but they could struggle to keep a clean sheet against Sassuolo, who have scored at least twice in 18 Serie A games this season, including in each of their last five.

The hosts will miss the presence of Raspadori in attack, but they still have enough quality in their side to secure all three points on Friday.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data

ID:480888:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10321:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

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