Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
45.01% (![]() | 24.86% (![]() | 30.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.22% (![]() | 46.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.96% (![]() | 69.04% (![]() |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% (![]() | 20.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% (![]() | 53.52% (![]() |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% (![]() | 28.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.12% (![]() | 64.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 11.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 60 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 54 |
3 | Livingston | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 54 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 34 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 27 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 20 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |