Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.77%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.