Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Dumbarton |
39.04% ( 0.27) | 24.42% ( 0.05) | 36.55% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 59.86% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.07% ( -0.25) | 42.93% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.67% ( -0.25) | 65.33% ( 0.25) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% ( 0.03) | 21.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.71% ( 0.04) | 55.3% ( -0.04) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.74% ( -0.28) | 23.27% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.81% ( -0.41) | 57.19% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Dumbarton |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 36.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 19 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |