Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.