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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Parma logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Parma

Vogliacco (57' og.), Coman (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Leoni (78')
Camara (55'), Hernani (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Lazio
Monday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 1-3 Lecce
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 3-2 Parma

Neither side specialise in defending, so fans could be treated to another five-goal thriller, mirroring September's meeting in Parma. Cagliari can edge it, as their visitors have shown a certain mental frailty and often throw precious points away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cagliari.

Result
CagliariDrawParma
47% (0.223 0.22) 24.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 28.7% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 57.22% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)45.06% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)67.41% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (0.072000000000003 0.07)19.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (0.118 0.12)51.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)29.1% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.206 -0.21)65.02% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 47%
    Parma 28.7%
    Draw 24.29%
CagliariDrawParma
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.7%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Parma

Cagliari
64.9%
Draw
24.3%
Parma
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Parma
2-3
Cagliari
Man (62'), Hernani (87' pen.)
Bernabe (25'), Coulibaly (48'), Haj Mohamed (90+1')
Zortea (34'), Marin (75'), Piccoli (87')
Obert (53'), Piccoli (90')
Jun 3, 2023 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Cagliari
Osorio (61'), Zanimacchia (64')
Dossena (41'), Radunovic (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Viola (90+5')
May 30, 2023 7.30pm
Cagliari
3-2
Parma
Luvumbo (68', 89'), Lapadula (85' pen.)
Benedyczak (10'), Sohm (26')
Estevez (29'), Vazquez (62'), Chichizola (65'), Mihaila (72'), Man (90+1')
Apr 22, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Parma
2-1
Cagliari
Vazquez (62' pen.), Man (77')
Lapadula (32')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-1
Parma
Pavoletti (54')
Camara (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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