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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta logo

Fiorentina
2 - 3
Atalanta

Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
15.91%20.01%64.07%
Both teams to score 53.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77%41.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38%63.62%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09%38.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36%75.64%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82%12.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.17%37.82%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 15.91%
    Atalanta BC 64.07%
    Draw 20.01%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 4.47%
2-1 @ 4.45%
2-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.47%
3-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.91%
1-1 @ 9.42%
0-0 @ 4.74%
2-2 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.01%
0-2 @ 10.5%
0-1 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.37%
1-3 @ 6.96%
0-4 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.28%
2-4 @ 1.73%
0-5 @ 1.63%
1-5 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 64.07%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina
8.3%
Draw
11.1%
Atalanta BC
80.6%
72
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
3-0
Fiorentina
Gosens (44'), Malinovskiy (55'), Toloi (63')
Romero (67')

Amrabat (54'), Ribery (80')
Feb 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Fiorentina
1-2
Atalanta
Chiesa (32')
Castrovilli (16'), Vlahovic (60')
Zapata (49'), Malinovskiy (72')
Zapata (27'), Gollini (33')
Jan 15, 2020 2pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
2-1
Atalanta
Cutrone (11'), Lirola (84')
Pezzella (45'), Henrique (81')
Pezzella (70')
Ilicic (67')
Caldara (34'), Djimsiti (50')
Sep 22, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 4
Atalanta
2-2
Fiorentina
Ilicic (84'), Castagne (95')
Pasalic (8'), de Roon (76')
Palomino (24' og.), Ribery (66')
Pezzella (1'), Lirola (46'), Milenkovic (53'), Boateng (88'), Dragowski (90')
Apr 25, 2019 7.45pm
Final
Atalanta
2-1
Fiorentina
Ilicic (14' pen.), Papu (69')
Gosens (74')
Muriel (3')
Ceccherini (16'), Pezzella (72'), Mirallas (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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