Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 2Lazio
We said: AC Milan 2-2 Lazio
Satisfying neither side, these teams could draw for the second time this season, allowing others to gain an advantage in the race for European qualification. While Lazio seem more united than Milan, both have defensive flaws, so there could be multiple goals in an entertaining stalemate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
49.54% ( -0.07) | 24.56% ( 0.01) | 25.9% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
