Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 2Fiorentina
We said: Lazio 2-1 Fiorentina
As well as being imperious in Europe, Lazio have lost just once as hosts all season, so an off-colour Fiorentina team are unlikely to defeat them. The Biancocelesti have also scored the most goals during the last 15 minutes in Serie A - 13 so far - meaning they will fight right through to the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
34.02% ( -0.62) | 27.26% ( -0.02) | 38.72% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
