Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
