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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Atalanta logo

Udinese
1 - 1
Atalanta

Walace (44')
Ferreira (41'), Bijol (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ederson (90+2')
Hateboer (37'), Koopmeiners (58'), de Roon (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Udinese 1-1 Atalanta BC

On the last eight occasions Udinese have hosted this equivalent fixture, both teams have always scored - averaging nearly four goals per game between them. It could be a more closely contested affair this week, though, as the improving home side are unbeaten in five league matches - Atalanta may have to settle for a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAtalanta BC
29.13% (-1.259 -1.26) 26.13% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 44.74% (1.264 1.26)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.651 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)52.58% (0.53 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (-0.458 -0.46)74.24% (0.456 0.46)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (-1.192 -1.19)32.67% (1.191 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-1.355 -1.36)69.22% (1.355 1.35)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.38200000000001 0.38)23.41% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.55 0.55)57.41% (-0.551 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 29.13%
    Atalanta BC 44.73%
    Draw 26.12%
UdineseDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.13%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 11.1% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.06% (0.342 0.34)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.052 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 44.73%

How you voted: Udinese vs Atalanta

Udinese
19.4%
Draw
25.0%
Atalanta BC
55.6%
36
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 5pm
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Udinese
2-2
Atalanta
Deulofeu (67'), Perez (78')
Lookman (36'), Muriel (56' pen.)
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Udinese
2-6
Atalanta
Djimsiti (59' og.), Beto (88')
Becao (30'), Deulofeu (44')
Pasalic (17'), Muriel (22', 76'), Malinovskyi (43'), Maehle (89'), Pessina (90+2')
de Roon (45+1'), Djimsiti (77')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Atalanta
1-1
Udinese
Malinovskyi (56')
Lovato (76'), Pezzella (78')
Piero Gasperini (90+1')
Beto (90+4')
Samir (17'), Pussetto (58')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
3-2
Udinese
Muriel (19', 43'), Zapata (61')
Pereyra (45'), Stryger Larsen (71')
Pereyra (58'), Samir (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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