Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cosenza Calcio would win this match.