Serie B | Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Catanzaro3 - 0Spezia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Spezia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Catanzaro | Draw | Spezia |
50.4% ( 2.49) | 22.99% ( -0.46) | 26.61% ( -2.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.02% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( 0.61) | 40.61% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% ( 0.63) | 62.99% ( -0.63) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( 1.16) | 16.28% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.18% ( 2.06) | 45.83% ( -2.05) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( -1.12) | 28.31% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.97% ( -1.44) | 64.04% ( 1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Catanzaro 50.4%
Spezia 26.61%
Draw 22.99%
| Catanzaro | Draw | Spezia |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.61% |
How you voted: Catanzaro vs Spezia
Catanzaro
45.5%Draw
18.2%Spezia
36.4%22
