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Under-20s World Cup | Semi-Finals
Jun 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Italy U20s
2 - 1
South Korea U20s

Casadei (14'), Pafundi (86')
Ambrosino (43'), Zanotti (45+4'), Faticanti (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lee (23' pen.)
Ji-Soo (68'), Ji-Soo (68+68'), Hyun-bin (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Italy Under-20s and South Korea Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colombia U20s 1-3 Italy U20s
Saturday, June 3 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: South Korea U20s 1-0 Nigeria U20s
Sunday, June 4 at 6.30pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: Italy Under-20s 2-1 South Korea Under-20s

With Italy often failing to keep the back door shut in Argentina so far, South Korea should make the net ripple at least once on Thursday evening, but it will be a different story for the Asian starlets at the back. Indeed, the Casadei-inspired Azzurrini have showcased a penchant for attacking flair, and with South Korea far from consistent defensively over the past few weeks, Italy should punch their ticket to the final for the first time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for South Korea Under-20s had a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a South Korea Under-20s win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Italy Under-20s in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Italy Under-20s.

Result
Italy Under-20sDrawSouth Korea Under-20s
52.11%24.34%23.55%
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72%49.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67%71.33%
Italy Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11%18.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64%50.36%
South Korea Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54%35.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77%72.23%
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-20s 52.1%
    South Korea Under-20s 23.55%
    Draw 24.34%
Italy Under-20sDrawSouth Korea Under-20s
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.1%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.94%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.55%

How you voted: Italy U20s vs South Korea U20s

Italy Under-20s
75.4%
South Korea Under-20s
24.6%
61
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