Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage
May 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario
USA U20s1 - 0Ecuador U20s
Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between USA Under-20s and Ecuador Under-20s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA U20s 2-1 Japan U20s
Monday, March 25 at 11am in International Friendlies
Monday, March 25 at 11am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bolivia U20s 0-4 Ecuador U20s
Sunday, November 18 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, November 18 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Ecuador Under-20s had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Ecuador Under-20s win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Under-20s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA Under-20s | Draw | Ecuador Under-20s |
46.94% ( 2.2) | 23.75% ( -0.16) | 29.3% ( -2.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.75% ( -0.32) | 42.24% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.35% ( -0.32) | 64.65% ( 0.32) |
| USA Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( 0.77) | 18.2% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.79% ( 1.3) | 49.21% ( -1.3) |
| Ecuador Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( -1.48) | 27.26% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.3% ( -1.96) | 62.69% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
USA Under-20s 46.94%
Ecuador Under-20s 29.3%
Draw 23.75%
| USA Under-20s | Draw | Ecuador Under-20s |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.94% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.3% |
Form Guide
