Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Minai had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Minai win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.