Maldonado

0 - 2

Fenix

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.